{"id":227544,"date":"2026-10-14T16:42:47","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T16:42:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/quixnet.net\/wpinstance\/is-punishing-the-poor-trumps-last-hand-to-play-the-guardian\/"},"modified":"2026-10-14T16:42:47","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T16:42:47","slug":"is-punishing-the-poor-trumps-last-hand-to-play-the-guardian","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quixnet.net\/wpinstance\/is-punishing-the-poor-trumps-last-hand-to-play-the-guardian\/","title":{"rendered":"Is punishing the poor Trump\u2019s last hand to play? &#8211; The Guardian"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The pre-midterm defenestration of ACA enrollees looks like political madness \u2013 but the president appears to believe hitting poor people might work for him<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2026\/oct\/08\/economy-midterm-elections-tell-us\" data-link-name=\"in standfirst link\">Send us your questions on how the US economy is shaping the midterm elections<\/a><br \/>There is a manic quality to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/donaldtrump\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">Donald Trump<\/a>\u2019s desperate dash to do something, anything, ahead of November\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/us-midterm-elections-2026\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">midterm elections<\/a> to convince beleaguered Americans that he can make the pressures his policies have imposed on their livelihoods go away.<br \/>The US president <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2026\/aug\/28\/trump-cattle-ranchers-beef-imports-backlash\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">offered<\/a> to lower barriers against beef imports to limit surging meat prices, only to consider <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2026\/09\/23\/trump-beef-imports-midterms-gop-panic-01090261\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">backtracking<\/a> under <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2026\/aug\/25\/trump-republican-backlash-beef-tariff-import\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">pressure<\/a> from the cow lobby. He <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2026\/sep\/22\/trump-diesel-export-ban\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">offered<\/a> to stop diesel exports, only to find oil companies <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/energy\/articles\/market-chatter-us-oil-executives-112235250.html\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">were<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/10\/07\/chevron-ceo-diesel-export-ban-trump-supply.html\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">not interested<\/a>. He weakened fuel efficiency standards, claiming this would trim the price of a new car (and forgetting to point out it will also raise spending on gas). In early October he started mailing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2026\/10\/01\/economy\/trump-obamacare-500-check\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">$500 checks<\/a> to nearly a million people touting his healthcare \u201cwins\u201d. Oh, and he promised adult Americans a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2026\/sep\/10\/trump-5000-midterm-cash-dividend-response\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">$5,000 check<\/a> if Republicans maintain control of Congress. That, too, will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2026\/sep\/10\/trump-dividend-republican-midterm-convention\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">go nowhere<\/a>.<br \/>In the face of such setbacks, maybe Trump felt he had to demonstrate he still can get something done. Still, it is somewhat counterintuitive that the administration, in the shape of Vice-President JD Vance, decided to broadcast the one initiative it did manage to bring to fruition: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2026\/sep\/25\/trump-aca-health-insurance\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">ejecting<\/a> more than 750,000 enrollees from the Affordable Care Act (ACA) health insurance marketplaces, on grounds that they are not entitled to federal subsidies.<br \/>Trump could argue that the cuts fit within the administration\u2019s promised commitment to restore fiscal discipline. But that part of the platform \u2013 which came as Scott Bessent, the treasury secretary, promised to trim the budget deficit to 3% of US gross domestic product \u2013 was never more than a rhetorical feint.<br \/>The pre-midterm defenestration of ACA enrollees by Trump\u2019s \u201cfraud taskforce\u201d, by contrast, looks a lot like political madness, given the persistent economic anxieties articulated by Democratic and Republican voters across the country.<br \/>The savings from the ACA maneuver, estimated by the administration at $2.2bn per year, are chump change compared with the centerpiece of Trump\u2019s fiscal policy \u2013 the One Big Beautiful Bill Act from 2025 that is expected to add $4.1tn to budget deficits over the next decade, largely due to tax cuts benefiting the most affluent Americans.<br \/><em>Pace<\/em> Bessent, the budget deficit is growing rapidly, expected to rise to some $2tn in the fiscal year of 2026, roughly 6% of GDP and about 18% more than in fiscal 2024, the last year of the Biden administration.<br \/>Rather than stem budgetary red ink, it\u2019s as if Trump\u2019s objective is to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/nation\/about-3-million-people-have-dropped-obamacare-health-coverage-after-subsidies-expire-and-costs-rise\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">spread misery<\/a> beyond the 3 million Americans who had to drop their health insurance after the administration last year cancelled subsidies offered by the Biden administration.<br \/>The effort is something out of the playbook of Elon Musk\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2026\/oct\/03\/elon-is-my-prophet-how-musks-doge-team-took-a-wrecking-ball-to-washington\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">Doge<\/a>. His promise to rid the government of \u201cwaste\u201d and \u201cfraud\u201d probably caused the deaths of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lancet\/article\/PIIS0140-6736(25)01186-9\/fulltext\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">millions of children<\/a> in the developing world after the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2026\/apr\/18\/trump-administration-usaid-doge-cuts\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">dismantling<\/a> of USAID, but <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/technology\/2025\/dec\/30\/elon-musk-doge-impact-us-government\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">proved<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gao.gov\/products\/gao-26-108615\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">largely<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2025\/feb\/26\/musk-doge-savings-website\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">irrelevant<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/technology\/2026\/jan\/01\/elon-musk-doge-legacy-government\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">to<\/a> the task of saving money for the government. It may serve as a masterclass in trolling. But it is not a vote-winner.<br \/>Part of Trump\u2019s brain seems to understand this. Trump paid in part for the \u201cbeautiful\u201d bill\u2019s colossal tax cut by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2026\/aug\/03\/medicaid-cuts-minnesota-california\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">cutting<\/a> funding to Medicaid and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2025\/nov\/03\/trump-snap-benefits-reactions\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">Snap<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2025\/aug\/01\/snap-food-stamps-trump-cuts\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">food<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2026\/jul\/25\/food-stamps-children-trump\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">stamp<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2025\/nov\/06\/ruling-snap-benefits-funding-trump\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">program<\/a> for low-income Americans. But he engineered most of the cuts to kick in after the midterms to minimize the political cost. The thinking was that lower-income Americans would happily vote for the Republicans out of gratitude for their somewhat bigger tax refund checks this year and tax breaks for overtime and tips (cleverly designed to expire at the end of Trump\u2019s term) and not notice the cuts rushing down the pike on federal programs they relied on.<br \/>Sign up to <span>Business Today<\/span><br \/>Get set for the working day \u2013 we&#x27;ll point you to all the business news and analysis you need every morning<br \/>after newsletter promotion<br \/>But the new evictions from the ACA suggest that his brain\u2019s darker side is winning. Indeed, it underscores Trump\u2019s belief that hitting poor people might work for him. Rather than a commitment to sound fiscal policy, a helping hand for American families treading water or an economic platform of any kind, Trump\u2019s latest exercise in \u201cfraud prevention\u201d points to a strategy revolving around punishing people he can define as \u201cbad\u201d. Deep underwater in the polls for his nutty stewardship of the economy, among other things, Trump seems to believe that his one remaining winning card is to do violence against constituencies that his base may not like. Top of the list are immigrants and low-income people. And so it is that ICE is also doubling down, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/09\/29\/us\/ice-hiring-immigration-enforcement-vetting.html\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">announcing<\/a> it will hire another 5,000 agents by the end of the year.<br \/>The president is on to something. About two-thirds of Republicans believe giving more aid to the poor does more harm than good, according to surveys <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/politics\/2024\/06\/24\/americans-views-of-government-aid-to-poor-role-in-health-care-and-social-security\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">from the Pew Research Center<\/a>. Despite the repeated instances of abuse by federal agents, only 19% of Republicans think the Trump administration is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/short-reads\/2026\/05\/04\/about-half-of-americans-continue-to-say-trump-administration-is-doing-too-much-on-deportations\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">doing too much<\/a> to deport immigrants illegally in the country. The most <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/politics\/2026\/06\/10\/no-apologies-right\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">radical rightwing<\/a> voters are all in for federal deportations and don\u2019t think the federal government should be responsible for ensuring Americans\u2019 healthcare.<br \/>Perhaps Trump\u2019s heart truly lies on the dark side. But doubling down on policies to please the most ardent fanatics in his base ultimately reveals the weakness of Trump\u2019s position. Perhaps even he understands that he has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.natesilver.net\/p\/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">lost the rest of the country<\/a>. Punishing the poor and the foreign \u2013 alongside an unlikely $5,000 Hail Mary pass \u2013 is all he has left.<br \/>Eduardo Porter is a journalist focused on economics and politics. He writes the newsletter <a href=\"https:\/\/eduardoelreportero.substack.com\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">Being There<\/a> on Substack<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/rss\/articles\/CBMijwFBVV95cUxOWmJsMzQ3QnRkODdzaF8xUmNrWTdWQmNpOVJyS3ZWdzlFNWdPQ1hkUkJzWjN3ZUUyOUxtNUpkR2VTczdMQ1l4NUNUT2pfaWkyaV9zX2xMeEZscW5RVkE2b2NKSF9QMmhmdkxhVkZyTkZEb2lfRDZMYVo0YTR5THdZb01tVlZidWN0ZVpESXM1UQ?oc=5\">source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The pre-midterm defenestration of ACA enrollees looks like political madness \u2013 but the president appears to believe hitting poor people might work for himSend us your questions on how the US economy is shaping the midterm electionsThere is a manic quality to Donald Trump\u2019s desperate dash to do something, anything, ahead of November\u2019s midterm elections [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":227545,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-227544","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-us","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/quixnet.net\/wpinstance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/227544","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/quixnet.net\/wpinstance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/quixnet.net\/wpinstance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quixnet.net\/wpinstance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quixnet.net\/wpinstance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=227544"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/quixnet.net\/wpinstance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/227544\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quixnet.net\/wpinstance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/227545"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/quixnet.net\/wpinstance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=227544"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quixnet.net\/wpinstance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=227544"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quixnet.net\/wpinstance\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=227544"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}